Qhov cuam tshuam ntawm kev ua tsov ua rog ntawm kev xa khoom, qhov sib txawv ntawm cov khoom ntim thiab tus nqi, kev txhim kho kev lag luam txawv teb chaws, thiab hla - kev sib tham txog kev lag luam ciam teb... Tsis ntev los no, lub lag luam tshuaj yej thoob ntiaj teb tau ua tiav qhov tseem ceeb! Ntawm ib sab, muaj kev lag luam siab los ntawm geopolitical tsis sib haum xeeb, thiab ntawm qhov tod tes, muaj cov kev ua tshiab los ntawm ntau lub teb chaws cov tshuaj yej industries kom tawg los ntawm qhov xwm txheej.
1, Kev Tsov Rog Middle East tau cuam tshuam rau kev lag luam tshuaj yej ntawm Kenya thiab Iran
Kev nce ntxiv ntawm Middle East kev tsis sib haum xeeb tau cuam tshuam cov huab cua thiab dej hiav txwv hauv thaj av Gulf, ua rau muaj kev nce nqi ntawm kev thauj khoom, kev tuav pov hwm, thiab roj, thiab hem kev sib tw ntawm Kenyan tshuaj yej xa tawm mus rau Iran thiab lwm lub khw Gulf.
Iran thiab Gulf lub teb chaws yog cov tshuaj yej xa tawm tseem ceeb rau Kenya tom qab Pakistan. Hauv 2024, Kenya yuav xa tawm kwv yees li 13 lab kilograms ntawm tshuaj yej muaj nqis 4.26 billion Kenyan shillings rau Iran.
Ua ntej muaj kev sib cav sib ceg, Kenya thiab Iran tau sib tham kom nthuav dav kev lag luam ua liaj ua teb los ntawm 2025-2026, suav nrog cov nqaij thiab cov khoom noj khoom haus, qhia txog qhov muaj peev xwm ntawm kev sib txawv ntawm ob lub teb chaws. Tab sis nrog kev tsis sib haum xeeb tsis tu ncua thiab kev ua raws li kev txwv hauv huab cua, cov phiaj xwm no yuav raug ncua.
Tam sim no, cov kev hem thawj tseem ceeb yog nce kev tsis paub meej thiab nce nqi khiav lag luam, tsis yog kev poob ntawm kev lag luam tam sim ntawd. Cov neeg xa tawm yuav tsum tau tiv nrog kev hloov pauv hauv hiav txwv thiab huab cua, cov nqi pov hwm siab, thiab cov nqi hluav taws xob, thaum tseem tswj hwm lawv txoj haujlwm hauv Gulf lag luam.
2, Kenya txhawb kev txhawb nqa ntawm cov tshuaj yej dub ib txwm xa tawm mus rau European lag luam
Kenya tab tom ntxiv dag zog rau nws cov khoom xa tawm mus rau European kev lag luam los ntawm kev txhim kho lub siab -cov tshuaj yej cov txiaj ntsig zoo, nrog rau kev tsom mus rau kev nthuav dav rau hauv kev lag luam German. Kenyan Embassy nyob rau hauv Berlin tau pab 23 tus neeg sawv cev los ntawm German Tshuaj yej thiab Herbal Tea Association mus xyuas cov tshuaj yej vaj thiab factories nyob rau hauv Kenya, sib sib zog nqus kev lag luam kev koom tes.
Tus neeg sawv cev German tau lees paub qhov zoo thiab ntau haiv neeg ntawm Kenyan tshuaj yej. Tsoomfwv Kenyan tau hais tias ntxiv dag zog rau cov tshuaj yej xa tawm mus rau lub tebchaws Yelemes tseem yog qhov tseem ceeb thiab yuav txhawb nqa kev koom tes txuas ntxiv los txhawb cov txiaj ntsig kev lag luam ntawm cov tshuaj yej ib txwm nyob hauv European lag luam.
3, Kev nce ntxiv ntawm kev tsis sib haum xeeb hauv Middle East ua rau muaj kev pheej hmoo rau Indian tshuaj yej xa tawm
Kev nce ntxiv ntawm kev tsis sib haum xeeb hauv Middle East yog hem Is Nrias teb cov tshuaj yej xa tawm. Kwv yees li 45% mus rau 50% ntawm Is Nrias teb cov tshuaj yej raug muag rau thaj tsam Middle East. Shipping thiab air freight txwv txwv tau cuam tshuam kev xa khoom ib txwm, thiab yog tias lub Strait of Hormuz raug kaw, nws yuav cuam tshuam ncaj qha rau kev xa tawm mus rau cov lag luam muaj feem xyuam.
Xyoo tas los, Is Nrias teb cov khoom xa tawm mus rau cov lag luam hauv Middle East tau muaj zog: 52.59 lab kilogram rau Iraq, 52.71 lab kilograms mus rau tebchaws United Arab Emirates, thiab 7.94 lab kilograms rau Saudi Arabia, qhia txog qhov tseem ceeb ntawm thaj tsam kev lag luam tshuaj yej nrog Is Nrias teb. Tus xa tawm tau hais tias tam sim no tsis muaj kev sib cuag nrog Iran, thiab feem ntau cov neeg xa tawm mus rau Iran tseem muaj cov nyiaj them poob haujlwm. Yog tias qhov kev tsis sib haum xeeb tshwm sim rau ntau tshaj ib hlis, nws yuav cuam tshuam rau kev xa tawm thiab nqi. Ua ke nrog qhov tsis muaj kev ruaj ntseg tam sim no ntawm kev taug kev hauv hiav txwv, nws tuaj yeem ncua kev xa khoom mus ntxiv thiab ua rau muaj kev cuam tshuam ntau ntxiv rau cov saw hlau.
4, Pakistan cov tshuaj yej ntshuam kev siv nyiaj rau thawj xya lub hlis ntawm lub xyoo nyiaj txiag no (Lub Xya Hli 1, 2025-Lub Rau Hli 30, 2026) tau mus txog INR 106 billion, nrog rau tag nrho cov khoom noj khoom haus nce ntxiv.
Nyob rau hauv thawj xya lub hlis ntawm lub xyoo no, Pakistan cov tshuaj yej ntshuam siv yog kwv yees li INR 106 billion (kwv yees li USD 38 lab), uas qhia txog lub luag hauj lwm tseem ceeb ntawm tshuaj yej nyob rau hauv lub neej niaj hnub ntawm Pakistani cov neeg.
Ntxiv nrog rau tshuaj yej, qhov ntim ntawm lwm yam khoom noj (nrog rau cov khoom siv mis nyuj, txiv ntseej, txuj lom, thiab roj noj) kuj tau nce ntxiv. Cov qauv no qhia txog kev hloov pauv ntawm cov qauv siv hauv tsev hauv Pakistan thiab txuas ntxiv kev vam khom ntawm kev lag luam hauv tsev ntawm cov khoom noj khoom haus txawv teb chaws.
Economists feem ntau saib xws li cov ntaub ntawv ntshuam raws li qhov taw qhia ntawm cov neeg siv khoom xav tau, kev yuav khoom, thiab kev coj tus cwj pwm dav dav. Txawm hais tias tshuaj yej tseem tuav qhov tseem ceeb ntawm kev coj noj coj ua, qhov tsis tu ncua nce ntim ntim kuj tseem yuav cuam tshuam rau kev lag luam thiab kev tswj hwm kev sib pauv txawv teb chaws.
5, Bangladesh nrhiav UK peev hauv Sylhet tshuaj yej kev lag luam
Thaum Lub Peb Hlis 2nd, Bangladeshi Minister of Commerce tau tham nrog British High Commissioner rau Bangladesh. Thaum lub rooj sib tham, tus Minister of Commerce ntawm Bangladesh tau hais tias Bangladesh vam tias UK yuav nqis peev hauv Sylhet tshuaj yej kev lag luam los txhawb kev lag luam niaj hnub thiab nce kev tsim khoom.
Meng Fang tau hais tias lub vaj tshuaj yej hauv cheeb tsam muaj peev txheej peev loj heev, thiab UK twb muaj peev txheej dhau los hauv kev lag luam tshuaj yej hauv Bangladesh. Kev nthuav dav kev nqis peev yuav pab tsim kev ua haujlwm thiab txhawb kev txhim kho kev ncig tebchaws hauv Bangladesh. Lub tebchaws Askiv tau qhia tshwj xeeb rau kev nqis peev hauv Sylhet tshuaj yej cog thiab ntseeg tias cov tub ua lag luam Askiv txaus siab koom tes hauv kev lag luam.
6, Kenya cov tshuaj yej xa tawm yuav nce xyoo 2025, tab sis cov nyiaj tau los yuav txo qis vim tus nqi poob
Raws li cov ntaub ntawv los ntawm Kenyan National Bureau of Statistics, xyoo 2025, Kenya cov tshuaj yej xa tawm yuav ncav cuag 652792 tons, ib xyoos - ntawm - xyoo nce ntawm 4.35%; Txawm li cas los xij, vim qhov nruab nrab nqi muag khoom hauv Mombasa poob los ntawm $ 2.19 / kg hauv 2024 txog $ 2.15 / kg hauv 2025, cov nyiaj tau los xa tawm tau poob 1% xyoo-rau- xyoo rau 186.9 billion shillings ($ 1.44 billion).
Kenya cov khoom xa tawm tam sim no yuav luag tag nrho los ntawm CTC cov tshuaj yej dub, suav txog 99% ntawm tag nrho cov khoom tsim thiab xa tawm, thaum tshwj xeeb tshuaj yej tsuas yog suav rau 1% ntawm cov khoom xa tuaj. Tsoomfwv Kenyan npaj yuav nce cov tshuaj yej ib txwm muaj peev xwm los ntawm 15000 tons hauv 2025 txog 200000 tons los ntawm 2030. Lub Cuaj Hli dhau los, tsoomfwv suav nrog cov tshuaj yej ib txwm siv hauv kev sib tw (yav dhau los tsuas yog siv rau CTC dub tshuaj yej) kom muaj nqi siab dua thiab txhawb kev lag luam muaj zog.
Kev lag luam tshuaj yej thoob ntiaj teb tam sim no yog nyob rau theem ntawm txoj kev loj hlob uas muaj kev sib tw thiab cov cib fim sib koom ua ke. Kev lag luam cuam tshuam los ntawm kev tsis sib haum xeeb ntawm thaj chaw tseem muaj nyob, thiab kev lag luam tshuaj yej hauv ntau lub teb chaws tab tom tshawb nrhiav txoj hauv kev loj hlob tshiab los ntawm kev nthuav dav kev lag luam, txhim kho kev muaj peev xwm, thiab kev sib koom ua ke hla - ciam teb. Suav cov tuam txhab tshuaj yej tuaj yeem ua raws li cov kab hauv qab ntawm qhov zoo, ua kom zoo tshaj plaws logistics layout, leverage thoob ntiaj teb kev koom tes hauv kev nthuav dav kev lag luam txawv teb chaws, zam kev lag luam txaus ntshai, thiab vam khom rau lawv tus kheej qhov zoo kom mus tas li mus thoob ntiaj teb.
